quarta-feira, 2 de março de 2016

Plano de Negócios - Business plan preparation - Manual for Entrepreneurs

Source: McKinsey

Standard use of business plans
▪Start-up companies:
–Application for venture capital
–Search for management team members
–Communication with partners, suppliers, …
▪Established, developed businesses for investment decisions
–In-house budget allocations
–External financing


Generic requirements
Explanation
Constantly adapting
▪Business planning is an iterative and adaptive process that requires constant update and adjustment work

Impressing by clarity
▪Not the quantity of analyses, but the clarity and preciseness of the pack are important

Convincing by facts
▪No hype, but factual statements. Enthusiasm will be generated by the investor realizing the opportunity on his own

Understandable even for non-experts
▪Those who allocate investment resources rarely are technical experts for the technology used in the proposal

Consistent and concise
▪Those who allocate investment resources rarely are technical experts for the technology used in the proposal

Optically compelling
▪A clear, precise structure is a courtesy to those investing their time in reading the proposal





Executive summary
▪Gives a brief overview of the concept's most important aspects
▪Describes idea as clearly, compellingly, and concisely as possible
▪Raises interest of decision makers
▪Is not more than 5 - 10 minutes to read
Quality of summary decides if rest of business plan is read

– Key questions
Idea description
▪What is your business idea? In what way does it fulfill the criterion of uniqueness?
▪Who are your target customers?
▪What is the value for those customers?
▪What market volume and growth rates do you forecast?
▪What competitive environment do you face?
▪What additional stages of development are needed?
▪How much investment is necessary (estimated)?
▪What long-term goals have you set?

Rough business plan
▪How high do you estimate your financing needs?
▪What are the sales, cost, and profit situations?
▪What are the most important milestones along the way to your goal?
▪What test customers have you approached/ could you approach?
▪What distribution channels will you use?
▪What partnerships would you like to enter into?
▪What opportunities and risks do you face?
▪What is the picture on patents?


Product/service
▪Potential foam plus applicator to replace expensive and space consuming earth that must be spread over garbage dumps every day
▪Space savings of ~30% for dump operators
▪Costs of coverage reduced by ~50% for dump operators

Market and competition
▪Customers: household garbage dump operator
▪Market: 300 to 500 dumps in Eastern USA with capacity of 500 to 10,000 tons/day
▪Major competitor: 3M/Sanifoam (application takes longer and is more complicated)

Marketing and sales
▪2007: Investments of USD 850,000 required
▪2008: Sales of USD 2 million (break-even)
▪2012: Sales of USD 15 million, profit of USD 1.5 million
Business system
▪Sale of foam and applicators (product business)

Opportunities and risks
▪Necessary approval from authorities
▪Proof of system's operational efficiency

Content of product/service section
▪Describes the function the product/service fulfills and the benefits the customer will gain from it
–Product/service description
–Customer value
▪Explains status and next steps of product/service development
▪Addresses patents/IP protection issues
Product/service section has to prove that entrepreneur can integrate the customers' perspective

– Key questions
Idea description
▪What end customers will you address?
▪What are the customers' needs?
▪What customer value does your product/service provide?
▪What is the nature of your innovation? Why is it unique?
▪What partnerships are necessary to achieve full customer value?
▪What competitor products already exist or are under development?
▪What stage of development has your product or service reached?
▪Do you have patents or licenses?
▪What further development steps do you plan to take? What milestones must be reached?

Rough business plan
▪Which versions of your products/services are designed for which customer groups and applications?
▪What patents/licenses do the competitors have?
▪What kind of service/maintenance will you offer?
▪What product or service guarantees will you grant?
▪Compare the strengths and weaknesses of comparable products/services with yours in an overview!

Successful product positioning
Identify relevant customer needs and problems
Define clear, sufficiently large customer segments
Define uniqueness and position offering vis-à-vis competition
Address subjective perception of customers

Content of management team section
▪Outlines educational background and professional experience of founders
▪Describes how existing skill gaps can be closed in the future
▪Convinces potential investors that both managerial and technological expertise is present to run the venture
Venture capitalist will invest only if the venture is managed by an excellent team

Management team – Key questions
Complete business plan
▪Who are the members of your management team and what distinguishes them: education, professional experience, success, standing in the business world?
▪What experience or abilities does the team possess that will be useful for implementing your concept and setting up your company?
▪What experience or abilities are lacking? How will the gaps be closed? By whom?
▪What targets do the team members pursue by starting up the business? How high is the motivation of the individual team members?

Reasons for business plan rejection
Inadequate technical expertise
Not patentable
Money commitment too large Long time frame
Not market-driven
Weak management team

Content of market and competition section
▪Provides thorough understanding of markets and competitors:
–Market size and growth
–Market segmentation
–Competition
–Positioning of product vis-à-vis the competition
The market and competition section has to outline the full economic potential of the venture

Market and competition – Key questions
Idea description
▪How is the industry developing?
▪What role do innovation and technological advances play?
▪How will you segment the market?
▪What market volumes do the individual market segments have, now and in the future (rough estimates)?
▪Who are your target customer groups?
▪What major competitors offer similar products/services?
▪How sustainable will your competitive edge be?

Rough business plan
▪What market volume (value and amount) do you estimate for your individual market segments over the next five years?
▪What will influence growth in the market segments?
▪What is your estimate of current and future profitability of the individual market segments?
▪What market shares do you hold in each market segment? What segments are you targeting?
▪Who are your reference customers? How do you plan to get reference customers?
▪What are the key buying factors for customers?
▪How does the competition operate? What strategies are pursued?
▪What are the barriers to market entry and how can they be overcome?
▪What market share does your competition have in the various market segments?
▪How profitable are your competitors?
▪What are your competitors' marketing strategies?
▪What distribution channels do your competitors use?
▪How will competitors react to your market launch? How will you respond to this reaction?
▪Profile the strengths and weaknesses of your major competitors with your own in the form of an overview!

Content of marketing and sales section
▪Outlines planned marketing and sales activities (four "Ps" framework):
–Product
–Price
–Place
–Promotion
Marketing and sales section has to explain how market is developed

Marketing and sales – Key questions
Idea description
▪What final sales price do you want to charge (estimated)? What criteria did you use to arrive at this final sale price? How high is the profit margin (estimated)?
▪What sales volumes and sales revenues are you aiming for (estimated)?

Rough business plan
▪In which partial market segments will you make your market entry? How do you plan to turn this "toehold" into a high-volume business?
▪What sales volumes are you targeting (detailed data by market segment)?
▪Describe the typical process of selling your product/service. Who, among your buyers, ultimately makes the purchasing decision?
▪How will you win reference customers?
▪How much, in time and resources, will it cost to acquire a customer?
▪Which advertising materials will you use to do so?
▪What other planning steps are necessary in the run up to launching your product/service? Draw up a schedule with the most important milestones!

Content of business system section
▪Outlines what parts of the value chain are covered by the venture
▪Discusses organizational issues
▪Describes necessary partnerships
▪Makes "make or buy" decisions
Business system section describes all necessary elements that enable the venture to physically deliver the customer value

Business system – Key questions
Rough business plan
▪What does the business system for your product/service look like?
▪What activities do you want to handle yourself?
▪Where will the focus of your own activities lie?
▪What business functions make up your organization, and how is it structured?
▪What resources do you need (quantitative and qualitative) to create your product/service?
▪How high is your need for technical input (raw materials, materials to create your service)?
▪What will you make, what will you buy?
▪Which partners will you work with? What are the advantages of working together for you and your partners?

Content of implementation plan section
▪Describes the most important activities and milestones for the development of the business
▪Lists the planned short- and long-term investments
▪Links the investment needs with major milestones
The implementation plan section gives the investor a clear roadmap to control the business development

Implementation plan – Key questions
Complete business plan
▪What are the most important milestones for the development of your business, and when must they be reached?
▪How do you plan to structure the work to reach these targets?
▪For which tasks/milestones do you anticipate bottlenecks?
▪How many new employees will you need in the individual business areas over the next five years? What will this cost?
▪How much real capital is necessary to achieve initial sales?
▪List your planned short-term investments!
▪List your planned longer-term (3 - 5 years) investments!
▪What investments will be required when which milestones are reached?
▪How high is the annual depreciation for each investment?

Content of financing section
▪Provides rough cash-flow forecasts
▪Outlines forecasts of profit and loss statements
▪Gives overview of future balance sheet structure
The finance plan explains the timing and volume of necessary financing rounds

Financial planning – Key questions
Complete business plan
▪How will your revenues, expenses and income develop?
▪How will your cash flow develop? When will you expect to break even (= sum of all revenues greater than the sum of all expenses)?
▪How high is your need for financing based on your liquidity planning? How much cash is needed in the worst case scenario?
▪What assumptions underlie your financial planning?
▪Which sources of capital are available to you to cover your financing needs?
▪What deal are you offering potential investors?
▪What return can investors expect?
▪How will they realize a profit (exit options)?

Financial plan outlines
▪Cash flow statement
▪Income statement
▪Balance sheet

Content of opportunities and risk section
▪Describes the venture's specific opportunities
▪Identifies the venture's main challenges
▪Tries to assess and quantify risks (e.g., with sensitivity analysis)
▪Develops countermeasures for "killer" risks
Consideration of risk involved will win the confidence of a potential investor

Opportunities and risks – Key questions
Rough business plan
▪What basic risks (market, competition, technology) does your business venture face?
▪What measures will you take to counter these risks?
▪What extraordinary opportunities/business possibilities do you see for your company?

▪How could an expansion of your capital base help? 

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